data

In this piece, data strategist Galina Novikova breaks down how small businesses can apply proven analytics frameworks like CRISP‑DM and SEMMA to make confident, data-driven decisions.

Every small business collects data, from website visits to customer feedback – but many wait until much later in their business journey to make sense of it.

But waiting until you’ve scaled to use your data can be a mistake. The sooner you understand what drives your customers’ behaviour, the faster you can make confident decisions, avoid costly detours, and scale with purpose.

You might think data analytics is only for big companies – and yes, big businesses spend large sums turning on churn alerts, demand forecasts and pricing engines. Though small firms probably can’t match that budget… They can borrow the underlying methods.

I would know; I’ve run analytics projects inside global marketplaces and I now apply the same playbook at my own pre‑launch start‑up. Here’s what I’ve pulled from that large-business experience to help make smarter decisions in a smaller setting – and what you can, too.

The four lenses of analytics

If you want to get smarter with data, you first have to understand the basic building blocks – even the most advanced analytics setups in large businesses start with four core types of analytics:

  • Descriptive: What’s been happening?
  • Exploratory: Why might it be happening?
  • Predictive: What’s likely to happen next?
  • Prescriptive: What should we do about it?

Most teams move through these lenses in order. You first report the basics, then dig into root causes. As your data matures, you forecast the future and, finally, automate smarter decisions. Descriptive and exploratory work tell you where you are; predictive and prescriptive work show you where to go.

If you’re a small business, your data collection can be 

So, how can small businesses turn this information into actionable insights?

From frameworks to actionable insight

Once you move beyond simple reporting and start trying to predict the future, a structured process keeps projects on track. 

Big companies use structured frameworks to keep predictable analysis grounded in business goals. For instance, during my time at AliExpress, one of my team’s goals was to reduce seller churn. Before we really dug into the data, we thought the high seller turnover had to do with price competition and customer complaints. But actually, something different was going on.

How did we find out the truth? We used two well-established data frameworks: CRISP-DM and SEMMA to help us analyse data using a proven process.

CRISP-DM (Cross-Industry Standard Process for Data Mining) is like a big‑picture guide to turn questions into actions. It has six stages:

  • Business Understanding – What is the problem?
  • Data Understanding – What data do you have?
  • Data Preparation – Is it clean and ready?
  • Modelling – Which methods will you use?
  • Evaluation – Does it actually work?
  • Deployment – How will you use it to make a difference?

In our case, we started by clearly defining our problem (seller churn), explored behavioural and performance metrics, and prepared a clean dataset that reflected real seller journeys.

SEMMA, developed by SAS, is more focused on the technical side – the nuts and bolts of the analysis. Its five steps are:

  • Sample – Take the right slice of data.
  • Explore – Look for patterns.
  • Modify – Create new variables if needed.
  • Model – Build and test your model.
  • Assess – Check how well it performs.

We used SEMMA to build and refine a churn model – a predictive tool that uses data to estimate the likelihood of a seller leaving the business. We sampled login and listing data, explored patterns, engineered variables for campaign engagement, and used decision-tree modelling to flag high-risk sellers who were likely to leave quickly.

The surprising insight: inconsistent traffic and low marketing activity were stronger churn signals than customer ratings or delivery speed. Armed with that, we built an early‑warning system that triggered tailored interventions: onboarding refreshers, promotional credits, and one‑on‑one coaching. Churn among flagged sellers dropped by double digits.

Think of CRISP‑DM as the big-picture roadmap and SEMMA as the detailed blueprint for the technical middle. Together they keep analytics tied to a business outcome while ensuring the modelling work is rigorous, even in smaller businesses.

How small businesses can use these principles to grow

I now co-lead an early-stage startup called Petggle, a digital platform designed to help Australians become more mindful pet owners. Our product uses AI to match users with pets that suit their lifestyle and connects them with reliable care services and practical advice.

We’re still at the beginning, but we’re already applying the same analytical discipline. Instead of starting with dashboards, we start with questions:

  • What signals suggest a user is finding value and will return?
  • Are users acting on the AI match suggestions or ignoring them?
  • Which content paths lead to deeper engagement or service discovery?

These aren’t just reporting questions. They are the seeds of models. Even with small data, we can apply the same thinking: explore, hypothesize, test, improve. That’s how we’ll build systems that scale with us.

Start small. Think forward.

Analytics isn’t about dashboards. It’s about decisions. Whether you run a pet‑care startup or a local cafe, the principle is the same: don’t just track what happened, ask what will happen next and how you can be ready.

Below is a short five‑step early‑stage analytics checklist you can keep on a sticky note. Use it anytime you launch a new feature, campaign, or product idea:

  • Define one question and one success signal. 
  • What are you trying to learn, and how will you know if you’ve moved the needle?
  • Capture only the data you need. 
  • Instrument the smallest set of events or fields required to answer that question, nothing more at first.
  • Review the numbers on a fixed rhythm. 

A weekly 15‑minute glance is often enough to spot trends without drowning in noise.

  • Translate each insight into a tiny experiment. 
  • Change one variable, set a quick timeframe, and measure again.
  • Document and reset. 
  • Keep a living log of questions, results, and next steps so lessons compound instead of disappearing.

You don’t need a data‑science team to start. Pick a goal, collect the key signals, and use a lightweight version of CRISP‑DM or SEMMA to guide your thinking. Structure today prevents chaos tomorrow and turns early traction into lasting value.

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Galina Novikova
Galina Novikova is the co-founder of Petggle, a Melbourne-based AI platform helping Australians become more mindful pet owners. She previously led strategic planning and finance teams at global marketplaces including AliExpress and Avito, where she specialised in data-informed decision-making. Galina holds an MBA in Data Analytics from La Trobe University and now focuses on applying enterprise-level analytics thinking to early-stage product development and responsible digital innovation in the pet care space.

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